Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.268569 1.558916 1.935410 2.475732 3.261271 4.416251 6.365100
2025-03-16 0.866325 1.164272 1.609317 2.374067 3.789431 6.683073 14.765169
2025-03-23 0.705980 1.008290 1.507526 2.494207 4.751519 11.283446 49.700740
2025-03-30 0.594169 0.883583 1.395544 2.516635 5.563683 17.941923 265.008810
2025-04-06 0.507806 0.776080 1.273766 2.447882 6.103678 26.538391 11142.166767
2025-04-13 0.446137 0.697141 1.181452 2.399437 6.697120 40.825067 NaN
2025-04-20 0.419039 0.674402 1.194023 2.624167 8.738965 107.649918 NaN
2025-04-27 0.390079 0.642118 1.176663 2.760106 10.805426 360.873560 NaN
2025-05-04 0.357980 0.598086 1.121581 2.752950 12.183420 1521.267703 NaN
2025-05-11 0.326018 0.549703 1.045871 2.642914 12.716448 9956.684534 NaN
2025-05-18 0.306788 0.524801 1.021802 2.707934 15.078653 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.293296 0.509943 1.019478 2.858415 19.252154 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.275480 0.484126 0.985140 2.871604 22.336270 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.254969 0.450278 0.923768 2.742271 22.915374 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.245309 0.439286 0.922591 2.889594 30.336825 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.233182 0.421326 0.898505 2.917169 36.305687 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.219445 0.398319 0.856138 2.832308 38.771651 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.207690 0.378826 0.821148 2.772658 42.338097 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.204486 0.378852 0.843979 3.050272 70.495742 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.198888 0.372589 0.846576 3.219321 108.533137 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.190472 0.358744 0.823022 3.210402 134.669778 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.180583 0.340555 0.783102 3.073535 136.420471 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.175022 0.332529 0.775022 3.154344 202.410508 NaN NaN